IJTLD Open (Jan 2025)

The impact of the war in Ukraine on the prevalence of MDR/RR-TB in Poland

  • A. Nowinski,
  • E. Augustynowicz-Kopeć,
  • J. Garnczarek,
  • A. Halicka,
  • M. Koszela,
  • W. Litwiniuk,
  • D. Maj,
  • I. Mazur,
  • J. Niestrój-Ostrowska,
  • R. Podlasin,
  • A. Regulska,
  • M. Wielopolska,
  • J. Wyrwiński,
  • S. Wesołowski,
  • M. Korzeniewska-Koseła

DOI
https://doi.org/10.5588/ijtldopen.24.0357
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 2, no. 1
pp. 6 – 12

Abstract

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BACKGROUND: The 2022 invasion of Ukraine by the Russian Federation triggered a refugee crisis, affecting the multidrug-/rifampicin-resistant TB (MDR/RR-TB) prevalence in neighbouring countries. This study examines the epidemiological trends and characteristics of MDR/RR-TB patients in Poland, focusing on the relative contribution of Ukrainian refugees. METHODS: Data from the Polish National Tuberculosis Registry and EPIC Project database, covering MDR/RR-TB cases reported between 2010 and Q1 2024, were analysed. RESULTS: The study included 794 MDR/RR-TB cases, showing a demographic shift post-2022. During the 10-year period up to 2021, a median of 48 MDR/RR-TB cases were reported annually in Poland. After 2022, these numbers doubled: 104 cases were reported in 2022 and 101 cases in 2023. Simultaneously, the number of Ukrainian MDR/RR-TB patients increased from 77 (13%) during 2010–2021 to 127 (58%) from 2022 to Q1 2024. CONCLUSION: Poland is observing an increased number of cases of MDR/RR-TB associated with the large number of displaced Ukrainian citizens who are now residing in Poland. There is a need to monitor the epidemiology of MDR/RR-TB and seek optimal screening and management strategies for TB among refugees from countries with high MDR/RR-TB incidence in Poland and Europe.

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