Merging Clinical and EEG Biomarkers in an Elastic-Net Regression for Disorder of Consciousness Prognosis Prediction

Abstract

Patients with Disorder of Consciousness (DoC) entering Intensive Rehabilitation Units after a severe Acquired Brain Injury have a highly variable evolution of the state of consciousness which is a complex aspect to predict. Besides clinical factors, electroencephalography has clearly shown its potential into the identification of prognostic biomarkers of consciousness recovery. In this retrospective study, with a dataset of 271 patients with DoC, we proposed three different Elastic-Net regressors trained on different datasets to predict the Coma Recovery Scale-Revised value at discharge based on data collected at admission. One dataset was completely EEG-based, one solely clinical data-based and the last was composed by the union of the two. Each model was optimized, validated and tested with a robust nested cross-validation pipeline. The best models resulted in a median absolute test error of 4.54 [IQR = 4.56], 3.39 [IQR = 4.36], 3.16 [IQR = 4.13] for respectively the EEG, clinical and hybrid model. Furthermore, the hybrid model for what concerns overcoming an unresponsive wakefulness state and exiting a DoC results in an AUC of 0.91 and 0.88 respectively. Small but useful improvements are added by the EEG dataset to the clinical model for what concerns overcoming an unresponsive wakefulness state. Data-driven techniques and namely, machine learning models are hereby shown to be capable of supporting the complex decision-making process the practitioners must face.

Keywords

• Electroencephalography
• disorder of consciousness
• machine learning
• coma recovery scale—revised
• prognostic gmodels