Synchronous asynchronous encounter analysis of runoff between reservoirs based on Copula function

Abstract

Based on goodness-of-fit test on Copula function, we got the best fitted joint distribution function of runoff between D and H reservoirs. Then we analyzed the synchronous asynchronous encounter probability of runoff. The synchronous encounter probability of runoff was 72.46%, while the asynchronous of dryness-wetness or wetness-dryness encounter probability was only 1.06% between D and H reservoirs. The results showed that the runoff conditions were not conducive to the runoff compensation. In order to satisfy the target of water supply, we should also study the reservoir optimization operation, store water in advance and exploit the reservoir regulating potentialities on flood water resources.