Nature Communications (Dec 2020)
State-level tracking of COVID-19 in the United States
- H. Juliette T. Unwin,
- Swapnil Mishra,
- Valerie C. Bradley,
- Axel Gandy,
- Thomas A. Mellan,
- Helen Coupland,
- Jonathan Ish-Horowicz,
- Michaela A. C. Vollmer,
- Charles Whittaker,
- Sarah L. Filippi,
- Xiaoyue Xi,
- Mélodie Monod,
- Oliver Ratmann,
- Michael Hutchinson,
- Fabian Valka,
- Harrison Zhu,
- Iwona Hawryluk,
- Philip Milton,
- Kylie E. C. Ainslie,
- Marc Baguelin,
- Adhiratha Boonyasiri,
- Nick F. Brazeau,
- Lorenzo Cattarino,
- Zulma Cucunuba,
- Gina Cuomo-Dannenburg,
- Ilaria Dorigatti,
- Oliver D. Eales,
- Jeffrey W. Eaton,
- Sabine L. van Elsland,
- Richard G. FitzJohn,
- Katy A. M. Gaythorpe,
- William Green,
- Wes Hinsley,
- Benjamin Jeffrey,
- Edward Knock,
- Daniel J. Laydon,
- John Lees,
- Gemma Nedjati-Gilani,
- Pierre Nouvellet,
- Lucy Okell,
- Kris V. Parag,
- Igor Siveroni,
- Hayley A. Thompson,
- Patrick Walker,
- Caroline E. Walters,
- Oliver J. Watson,
- Lilith K. Whittles,
- Azra C. Ghani,
- Neil M. Ferguson,
- Steven Riley,
- Christl A. Donnelly,
- Samir Bhatt,
- Seth Flaxman
Affiliations
- H. Juliette T. Unwin
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Swapnil Mishra
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Valerie C. Bradley
- Department of Statistics, University of Oxford
- Axel Gandy
- Department of Mathematics, Imperial College
- Thomas A. Mellan
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Helen Coupland
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Jonathan Ish-Horowicz
- Department of Mathematics, Imperial College
- Michaela A. C. Vollmer
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Charles Whittaker
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Sarah L. Filippi
- Department of Mathematics, Imperial College
- Xiaoyue Xi
- Department of Mathematics, Imperial College
- Mélodie Monod
- Department of Mathematics, Imperial College
- Oliver Ratmann
- Department of Mathematics, Imperial College
- Michael Hutchinson
- Department of Statistics, University of Oxford
- Fabian Valka
- Harrison Zhu
- Department of Mathematics, Imperial College
- Iwona Hawryluk
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Philip Milton
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Kylie E. C. Ainslie
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Marc Baguelin
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Adhiratha Boonyasiri
- NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Healthcare Associated Infections and Antimicrobial Resistance, Imperial College London
- Nick F. Brazeau
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Lorenzo Cattarino
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Zulma Cucunuba
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Gina Cuomo-Dannenburg
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Ilaria Dorigatti
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Oliver D. Eales
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Jeffrey W. Eaton
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Imperial College
- Sabine L. van Elsland
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Richard G. FitzJohn
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Katy A. M. Gaythorpe
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- William Green
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Wes Hinsley
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Benjamin Jeffrey
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Edward Knock
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Daniel J. Laydon
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- John Lees
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Gemma Nedjati-Gilani
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Pierre Nouvellet
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Lucy Okell
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Kris V. Parag
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Igor Siveroni
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Hayley A. Thompson
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Patrick Walker
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Caroline E. Walters
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Oliver J. Watson
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Lilith K. Whittles
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Azra C. Ghani
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Neil M. Ferguson
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Steven Riley
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Christl A. Donnelly
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Samir Bhatt
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College
- Seth Flaxman
- Department of Mathematics, Imperial College
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-19652-6
- Journal volume & issue
-
Vol. 11,
no. 1
pp. 1 – 9
Abstract
High numbers of COVID-19-related deaths have been reported in the United States, but estimation of the true numbers of infections is challenging. Here, the authors estimate that on 1 June 2020, 3.7% of the US population was infected with SARS-CoV-2, and 0.01% was infectious, with wide variation by state.