Parameter estimation for a SEIRS model with COVID-19 data of Türkiye

Abstract

In this paper, the unknown parameters of a SEIRS mathematical model for the dynamics of COVID-19 are estimated by the least squares approach using data of Trkiye. In the considered model, the infective group is divided into two classes consisting of diagnosed and undiagnosed individuals. Since the data for undiagnosed infective individuals in the community is unknown, three di erent scenarios are proposed. The numerical solutions of the model using the estimated parameter values and the actual data are demonstrated with graphs.

Keywords

• parameter estimation
• covid-19
• epidemic model
• 37n25
• 65d10