EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF THE IMPACT OF TAX REVENUES ON ECONOMIC GROWTH

Abstract

The main objective of this article was to analyze the relationship between total revenues, social contributions and total gross expenses in Romania.The analysis covers the period 1995 to 2022 and is based on data collected from official sources.The study aimed to highlight the long-term dynamics and short-term adjustments between the key economic variables under analysis, thus providing insight into how fiscal policies can influence budgetary stability. Thus, in order to analyze the long-term interdependencies and short-term adjustments between total revenues, social contributions and total gross expenses, we proceeded to identify the cointegration relationships between the variables.The results showed that although there is an adjustment process, it is not instantaneous. Any short-term deviation of one of the key variables causes a series of adjustments in the other variables to restore the long-term balance, thus confirming the existence of structural links between these variables, while also providing a clear perspective on how these relationships manifests and stabilizes over time.

Keywords

• fiscal policy
• total gross expenses
• social contributions
• tax revenues.