Comparative Study of Rapid Assessment Methods for Earthquake-Triggered Landslides Based on the Newmark Model—A Case Study of the 2022 Luding Ms6.8 Earthquake

Abstract

Earthquake-triggered landslides represent a significant seismic-related disaster, posing threats to both the lives and property of individuals in affected areas. Furthermore, they can result in road and river blockages, as well as other secondary disasters, significantly impacting post-earthquake rescue efforts. Efficient, accurate, and rapid assessment of high-risk landslide zones carries important implications for decision making in disaster response and for mitigating potential secondary disasters. The high-intensity zones VII to IX of the Luding Ms6.8 earthquake on 5 September, 2022, were used as a case study here. Based on the simple Newmark model, the difference method and the cumulative displacement method were employed to assess earthquake-triggered landslides. The assessment results from both methods demonstrated that the areas posing an extremely high risk of earthquake-triggered landslides were predominantly situated on the western side of the Xianshuihe Fault. Verification using actual landslide data showed that both methods had high predictive accuracy, with the difference method slightly outperforming the cumulative displacement method. Moreover, this study recommends determining threshold values for each landslide risk interval having physical meanings using previous data on strong earthquakes when utilizing the difference method to assess the risk of earthquake-triggered landslides.

Keywords

• earthquake-triggered landslides
• rapid assessment
• Luding Ms6.8 earthquake
• Newmark method
• difference method
• cumulative displacement method