Nonlinear Influence Model of Built Environment of Residential Area on Electric Vehicle Miles Traveled

Abstract

In this study, gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) and ordinary least squares (OLS) models were constructed to systematically ascertain the influencing factors and electric vehicle (EV) use action laws from the perspective of travelers. The use intensity of EVs was represented by electric vehicle miles traveled (eVMT); variables such as the charging time, travel preference, and annual income were used to describe the travel characteristics. Seven variables, including distance to the nearest business district, road density, public transport service level, and land use mix were extracted from different dimensions to describe the built environment, explore the influence of the travel behavior mode and built environment on EV use. From the eVMT survey data, points of interest (POI) data, urban road network data, and other heterogeneous data from Chongqing, an empirical analysis of EV usage intensity was conducted. The results indicated that the deviation of the GBDT model (9.62%) was 11.72% lower than that of the OLS model (21.34%). The charging time was the most significant factor influencing the service intensity of EVs (18.37%). The charging pile density (15.24%), EV preference (11.52%), and distance to the nearest business district (10.28%) also exerted a significant influence.

Keywords

• electric vehicle
• built environment
• eVMT
• gradient boosting decision tree
• nonlinear influence