Statistical Interdependence between Daily Precipitation and Extreme Daily Temperature in Regions of Mexico and Colombia

Abstract

We study the statistical interdependence between daily precipitation and daily extreme temperature for regions of Mexico (14 climatic stations, period 1960–2020) and Colombia (7 climatic stations, period 1973–2020) using linear (cross-correlation and coherence) and nonlinear (global phase synchronization index, mutual information, and cross-sample entropy) synchronization metrics. The information shared between these variables is relevant and exhibits changes when comparing regions with different climatic conditions. We show that precipitation and temperature records from La Mojana are characterized by high persistence, while data from Mexico City exhibit lower persistence (less memory). We find that the information exchange and the level of coupling between the precipitation and temperature are higher for the case of the La Mojana region (Colombia) compared to Mexico City (Mexico), revealing that regions where seasonal changes are almost null and with low temperature gradients (less local variability) tend to display higher synchrony compared to regions where seasonal changes are very pronounced. The interdependence characterization between precipitation and temperature represents a robust option to characterize and analyze the collective dynamics of the system, applicable in climate change studies, as well as in changes not easily identifiable in future scenarios.

Keywords

• time series
• precipitation
• temperature
• entropy
• synchronization