PRIMEROS INTENTOS HACIA LA OBTENCIÓN DE ÍNDICES PREDICTIVOS EN LA HIPERTENSIÓN ARTERIAL DEL ADOLESCENTE / First attempts to obtain predictive indexes in adolescent hypertension

Abstract

Introduction and Objectives: There are many risk factors for developing hypertension. In the XXI century, smarter ways to investigate are needed, so preventing the turning of an adolescent into a hypertensive adult must be a priority. The aim of this paper is to predict the risk of hypertension onset in adulthood, from cardiovascular tension and risk stratification since adolescence. Methods: A representative sample of 125 adolescents from the project PESESCAD-HTA was studied. They were diagnosed with prehypertension in 2001, and were followed for 8 years (96 months) until January 2009. Results: Two predictive indexes were obtained. The first, based on the total cardiovascular risk and the second from the multiplication of these risks with an accuracy index for each of 61.6% and 70.4%, respectively. Conclusions: The index based on the multiplication of cardiovascular risk can predict, with adequate accuracy, the turning of a prehypertensive adolescent into hypertensive once he/she reaches adulthood.

Keywords

• hypertension
• prehipertension
• adolescent
• forecasting