Influence of the Macroeconomic Environment on Management of the Organization Taking into Account an Import Substitution Factor

Abstract

In the article tools for a research of an economic macroenvironment of the organization are offered. The expediency of use for this purpose of not cost macroeconomic cost indexes is proved that is especially important taking into account the import substitution policy measures realized in Russia. As an example regularities of dynamics of speed of the address of money supply in the certain countries, in comparison with Russia are revealed, trends of this indicator on the basis of model of a two-level black box are analyzed. Recommendations about a research of economic systems by means of polynomial models which results of application can be used in the analysis and forecasting of processes of economic development taking into account an import substitution factor are formulated.

Keywords

• strategic management of the organization
• external environment
• incomplete information
• polynomial model
• national economy
• sanctions
• import substitution