CEEMDAN-RIME–Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory Short-Term Wind Speed Prediction for Wind Farms Incorporating Multi-Head Self-Attention Mechanism

Abstract

Accurate wind speed prediction is extremely critical to the stable operation of power systems. To enhance the prediction accuracy, we propose a new approach that integrates bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) with fully adaptive noise ensemble empirical modal decomposition (CEEMDAN), the RIME optimization algorithm (RIME), and a multi-head self-attention mechanism (MHSA). First, the historical data of wind farms are decomposed via CEEMDAN to extract the change patterns and features on different time scales, and different subsequences are obtained. Then, the parameters of the BiLSTM model are optimized using the frost ice optimization algorithm, and each subsequence is input into the neural network model containing the MHSA for prediction. Finally, the predicted values of each component are weighted and reconstructed to obtain the predicted values of wind speed time series. According to the experimental results, the method can predict the short-term wind speeds of wind farms more accurately. We verified the effectiveness of the method by comparing it with different models.

Keywords

• wind speed prediction
• adaptive noise
• modal decomposition
• RIME optimization
• multi-head self-attention mechanism
• bidirectional long short-term memory network