Prediction of land surface temperature of major coastal cities of India using bidirectional LSTM neural networks

Abstract

Surface Temperature (ST) is important in terms of surface energy and terrestrial water balances affecting urban ecosystems. In this study, to process the nonlinear changes of climatological variables by leveraging the distinct advantages of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM), we propose an LSTM-BiLSTM hybrid deep learning model which extracts multi-dimension features of inputs, i.e., backward (future to past) or forward (past to future) to predict ST. This study assessed the climatological variables, i.e., wind speed, wind direction, relative humidity, dew point temperature, and atmospheric pressure impact on ST using five major coastal cities of India: Chennai, Mangalore, Visakhapatnam, Cuddalore, and Cochin. The Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) and hybrid LSTM-BiLSTM models have effectively predicted ST and outperformed the standalone Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), LSTM, and BiLSTM models. The RNN and LSTM-BiLSTM models have performed better in predicting ST for Mangalore (Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE)=0.91), followed by Cochin (NSE=0.89), Chennai (NSE=0.88), Cuddalore (NSE=0.88), and Vishakhapatnam (NSE=0.81). The hybrid data-driven modeling framework indicated that coupling the LSTM and BiLSTM models was proven effective in predicting the ST of coastal cities. HIGHLIGHTS Surface temperature prediction model based on hybrid machine learning algorithms.; Hybrid data-driven algorithm was more effective compared to the individual ML algorithms.; Surface temperature prediction of major coastal cities of India.;

Keywords

• artificial neural networks
• bidirectional long short-term memory
• hybrid deep learning model
• long short-term memory
• recurrent neural networks
• surface temperature