Nature Communications (Feb 2022)
Robust but weak winter atmospheric circulation response to future Arctic sea ice loss
- D. M. Smith,
- R. Eade,
- M. B. Andrews,
- H. Ayres,
- A. Clark,
- S. Chripko,
- C. Deser,
- N. J. Dunstone,
- J. García-Serrano,
- G. Gastineau,
- L. S. Graff,
- S. C. Hardiman,
- B. He,
- L. Hermanson,
- T. Jung,
- J. Knight,
- X. Levine,
- G. Magnusdottir,
- E. Manzini,
- D. Matei,
- M. Mori,
- R. Msadek,
- P. Ortega,
- Y. Peings,
- A. A. Scaife,
- J. A. Screen,
- M. Seabrook,
- T. Semmler,
- M. Sigmond,
- J. Streffing,
- L. Sun,
- A. Walsh
Affiliations
- D. M. Smith
- Met Office Hadley Centre
- R. Eade
- Met Office Hadley Centre
- M. B. Andrews
- Met Office Hadley Centre
- H. Ayres
- Department of Meteorology, University of Reading
- A. Clark
- Met Office Hadley Centre
- S. Chripko
- CECI, Université de Toulouse, CNRS, CERFACS
- C. Deser
- National Center for Atmospheric Research
- N. J. Dunstone
- Met Office Hadley Centre
- J. García-Serrano
- Group of Meteorology, Universitat de Barcelona
- G. Gastineau
- UMR LOCEAN, Sorbonne Université/CNRS/IRD/MNHN, Institut Pierre Simon Laplace (IPSL)
- L. S. Graff
- Norwegian Meteorological Institute
- S. C. Hardiman
- Met Office Hadley Centre
- B. He
- State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences
- L. Hermanson
- Met Office Hadley Centre
- T. Jung
- Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research
- J. Knight
- Met Office Hadley Centre
- X. Levine
- Barcelona Supercomputing Center
- G. Magnusdottir
- Department of Earth System Science, University of California Irvine
- E. Manzini
- Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie
- D. Matei
- Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie
- M. Mori
- Research Institute for Applied Mechanics, Kyushu University
- R. Msadek
- CECI, Université de Toulouse, CNRS, CERFACS
- P. Ortega
- Barcelona Supercomputing Center
- Y. Peings
- Department of Earth System Science, University of California Irvine
- A. A. Scaife
- Met Office Hadley Centre
- J. A. Screen
- College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, Exeter University
- M. Seabrook
- Met Office Hadley Centre
- T. Semmler
- Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research
- M. Sigmond
- Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment and Climate Change Canada
- J. Streffing
- Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research
- L. Sun
- Department of atmospheric science, Colorado State University
- A. Walsh
- College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, Exeter University
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-28283-y
- Journal volume & issue
-
Vol. 13,
no. 1
pp. 1 – 15
Abstract
The degree to which Arctic sea ice decline influences the mid-latitude atmospheric circulation is widely debated. Here, the authors use a coordinated multi-model experiment to show that Arctic sea ice loss causes a weakening of the mid-latitude westerly winds, but the effect is overall small.