PLoS ONE (Jan 2015)

Faster increases in human life expectancy could lead to slower population aging.

  • Warren C Sanderson,
  • Sergei Scherbov

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0121922
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 10, no. 4
p. e0121922

Abstract

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Counterintuitively, faster increases in human life expectancy could lead to slower population aging. The conventional view that faster increases in human life expectancy would lead to faster population aging is based on the assumption that people become old at a fixed chronological age. A preferable alternative is to base measures of aging on people's time left to death, because this is more closely related to the characteristics that are associated with old age. Using this alternative interpretation, we show that faster increases in life expectancy would lead to slower population aging. Among other things, this finding affects the assessment of the speed at which countries will age.