Brazilian Journal of Political Economy (Aug 2023)

The impossible quartet in a demand led growth-supermultiplier model for a small open economy

  • JOSÉ LUIS OREIRO,
  • JULIO FERNANDO COSTA SANTOS

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-31572023-3448
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 43, no. 3
pp. 592 – 618

Abstract

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ABSTRACT The aim of this paper is to investigate the long run sustainability of a growth path led by multiple non-creating capacity autonomous expenditures in a demand led-supermultiplier model for a small open economy. Using two different models the results show that it is impossible to have in the same model long-term economic growth driven by the non-capacity creating component of domestic demand, exogenous income distribution, long-run balance between productive capacity and aggregate demand and balance of payments equilibrium. Economic viability of the balanced-growth path demands growth to be led by exports, at least for small open economies.

Keywords