REGARDING THE RISKS OF OCCURRENCE OF EMERGENCY SITUATIONS IN THE SPHERE OF BIOLOGICAL SAFETY OF INTERNATIONAL CONCERN AND THEIR PREDICTORS

Abstract

The paper presents the analysis of the current epidemiological situation from the viewpoint of identification of risks of emergency situation onset in the sphere of biological safety, which differs from the emergency situation of sanitary-epidemiological welfare in the character of after-effects that are comparable in the quality and the scale to the threats to national and international security. In reference to the parameters of emergency situation in the sphere of biological safety, epidemic of Ebola fever in West Africa countries (2013-2016) has been described. Biosafety emergency situation is most likely to be predicted in the following cases: occurrence of the flu pandemic of the novel subtype (International Health Regulations, 2005); intensification of unfavorable for public health tendencies against the background of Zika fever transmission; larde-scale failures in the provision of biological safety when working with pathogenic biological agents; foreseeable, hard to control consequences of onset and transmission of infectious diseases caused by microorganisms with synthetic genome; occurrence of epidemic events during international mass meetings; justified interpretation of emergency situation, applying IHR (2005), as an after-effect of violation of the Convention on the Prohibition of Biological and Toxin Weapons (CBTW) and the grounds for intervention into the internal affairs of offending countries with social-economic, geo-political aftermaths and damage to the national security.

Keywords

• biological safety
• emergency situation of sanitary-epidemiological character of international concern
• emergency situation in the sphere of biological safety
• risk of emergency situation occurrence
• relevant infectious diseases
• pathogenic biological agents
• microorganisms with synthetic genome
• international health regulations (2005)