Predictive model for persistent hypertension after surgical intervention of primary aldosteronism

Abstract

Abstract Primary aldosteronism (PA) is one of the most common causes of secondary hypertension and is potentially curable. However, a large number of patients still undergo persistent hypertension (PHT) after unilateral adrenal surgery. This research retrospectively studied the factors associated with this clinical difficulty and established a prediction model for the postoperative PHT; Methods: 353 patients from 2014 to 2021 with PA undergoing unilateral adrenal surgery were enrolled in this study. Clinical and biochemical characteristics were reviewed and the associating factors were examined using univariate and multivariate analysis. A nomogram-based prediction model was established correspondingly; results: 46.2% (163/190) of patients had post-surgical PHT. Multivariate analysis suggested that BMI ≥ 25, diabetes, duration of hypertension, male gender, and ARR were independent predictors of PHT after surgery. The prediction model based on the nomogram showed good discrimination ability (the C index of the training group and the validation group were 0.783 and 0.769, respectively), and the calibration curves and the Hosmer–Lemeshow test were good as well. Clinical usefulness was quantified using the decision curve analysis; This nomogram is an integration of the clinical and biochemical data of patients before surgery, and is a reliable tool with high accuracy for predicting the postoperative PHT in patients with PA.