The Lancet Regional Health. Europe (Nov 2024)
Physical, cognitive, and social triggers of symptom fluctuations in people living with long COVID: an intensive longitudinal cohort studyResearch in context
- Darren C. Greenwood,
- Maedeh Mansoubi,
- Nawar D. Bakerly,
- Aishwarya Bhatia,
- Johnny Collett,
- Helen E. Davies,
- Joanna Dawes,
- Brendan Delaney,
- Leisle Ezekiel,
- Phaedra Leveridge,
- Ghazala Mir,
- Willie Muhlhausen,
- Clare Rayner,
- Flo Read,
- Janet T. Scott,
- Manoj Sivan,
- Ian Tucker–Bell,
- Himanshu Vashisht,
- Tomás Ward,
- Daryl B. O'Connor,
- Helen Dawes,
- Nawar D. Bakerly,
- Kumaran Balasundaram,
- Megan Ball,
- Mauricio Barahona,
- Alexander Casson,
- Jonathan Clarke,
- Karen Cook,
- Rowena Cooper,
- Vasa Curcin,
- Julie Darbyshire,
- Helen E. Davies,
- Helen Dawes,
- Simon de Lusignan,
- Brendan Delaney,
- Carlos Echevarria,
- Sarah Elkin,
- Ana Belen Espinosa Gonzalez,
- Rachael Evans,
- Sophie Evans,
- Zacchaeus Falope,
- Ben Glampson,
- Madeline Goodwin,
- Trish Greenhalgh,
- Darren C. Greenwood,
- Stephen Halpin,
- Juliet Harris,
- Will Hinton,
- Mike Horton,
- Samantha Jones,
- Joseph Kwon,
- Cassie Lee,
- Ashliegh Lovett,
- Mae Mansoubi,
- Victoria Masey,
- Harsha Master,
- Erik Mayer,
- Bernardo Meza-Torres,
- Ruairidh Milne,
- Ghazala Mir,
- Jacqui Morris,
- Adam Mosley,
- Jordan Mullard,
- Daryl O'Connor,
- Rory O'Connor,
- Thomas Osborne,
- Amy Parkin,
- Stavros Petrou,
- Anton Pick,
- Denys Prociuk,
- Clare Rayner,
- Amy Rebane,
- Natalie Rogers,
- Janet T. Scott,
- Manoj Sivan,
- Adam B. Smith,
- Nikki Smith,
- Emma Tucker,
- Ian Tucker-Bell,
- Paul Williams,
- Darren Winch,
- Conor Wood
Affiliations
- Darren C. Greenwood
- School of Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK; Leeds Institute for Data Analytics, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK; Corresponding author. School of Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
- Maedeh Mansoubi
- NIHR Exeter Biomedical Research Centre, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK; Medical School, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK; Department of Public Health and Sport Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK
- Nawar D. Bakerly
- Northern Care Alliance, Salford, UK
- Aishwarya Bhatia
- Medical School, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK
- Johnny Collett
- Department of Sport, Health and Social Work, Oxford Brookes University, Oxford, UK
- Helen E. Davies
- Cardiff and Vale University Health Board, Cardiff, UK
- Joanna Dawes
- Medical School, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK; University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust, Birmingham, UK
- Brendan Delaney
- Faculty of Medicine, Department of Surgery & Cancer, Imperial College, London, UK
- Leisle Ezekiel
- School of Health Sciences, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
- Phaedra Leveridge
- Department of Public Health and Sport Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK
- Ghazala Mir
- Leeds Institute of Health Sciences, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
- Willie Muhlhausen
- In the Wild Research Limited, Dublin, Ireland
- Clare Rayner
- Patient Advisory Group (PAG) Representative, UK
- Flo Read
- Department of Health and Community Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK
- Janet T. Scott
- COVID Recovery Service, NHS Highlands, Raigmore Hospital, Inverness, UK; MRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow, UK
- Manoj Sivan
- Academic Department of Rehabilitation Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
- Ian Tucker–Bell
- Patient Advisory Group (PAG) Representative, UK
- Himanshu Vashisht
- In the Wild Research Limited, Dublin, Ireland
- Tomás Ward
- Insight SFI Research Centre for Data Analytics, Dublin City University, Dublin, Ireland
- Daryl B. O'Connor
- School of Psychology, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
- Helen Dawes
- NIHR Exeter Biomedical Research Centre, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK; Medical School, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK; Department of Public Health and Sport Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK
- Nawar D. Bakerly
- Kumaran Balasundaram
- Megan Ball
- Mauricio Barahona
- Alexander Casson
- Jonathan Clarke
- Karen Cook
- Rowena Cooper
- Vasa Curcin
- Julie Darbyshire
- Helen E. Davies
- Helen Dawes
- Simon de Lusignan
- Brendan Delaney
- Carlos Echevarria
- Sarah Elkin
- Ana Belen Espinosa Gonzalez
- Rachael Evans
- Sophie Evans
- Zacchaeus Falope
- Ben Glampson
- Madeline Goodwin
- Trish Greenhalgh
- Darren C. Greenwood
- Stephen Halpin
- Juliet Harris
- Will Hinton
- Mike Horton
- Samantha Jones
- Joseph Kwon
- Cassie Lee
- Ashliegh Lovett
- Mae Mansoubi
- Victoria Masey
- Harsha Master
- Erik Mayer
- Bernardo Meza-Torres
- Ruairidh Milne
- Ghazala Mir
- Jacqui Morris
- Adam Mosley
- Jordan Mullard
- Daryl O'Connor
- Rory O'Connor
- Thomas Osborne
- Amy Parkin
- Stavros Petrou
- Anton Pick
- Denys Prociuk
- Clare Rayner
- Amy Rebane
- Natalie Rogers
- Janet T. Scott
- Manoj Sivan
- Adam B. Smith
- Nikki Smith
- Emma Tucker
- Ian Tucker-Bell
- Paul Williams
- Darren Winch
- Conor Wood
- Journal volume & issue
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Vol. 46
p. 101082
Abstract
Summary: Background: Symptom fluctuations within and between individuals with long COVID are widely reported, but the extent to which severity varies following different types of activity and levels of exertion, and the timing of symptoms and recovery, have not previously been quantified. We aimed to characterise timing, severity, and nature of symptom fluctuations in response to effortful physical, social and cognitive activities, using Ecological Momentary Assessments. Methods: We recorded activity, effort, and severity of 8 core symptoms every 3 h for up to 24 days, in cohorts from both clinic and community settings. Symptom severities were jointly modelled using autoregressive and moving average processes. Findings: Consent was received from 376 participants providing ≥1 week's measurements (273 clinic-based, 103 community-based). Severity of all symptoms was elevated 30 min after all categories of activity. Increased effort was associated with increased symptom severity. Fatigue severity scores increased by 1.8/10 (95% CI: 1.6–1.9) following the highest physical exertions and by 1.5 (1.4–1.7) following cognitive efforts. There was evidence of only mild delayed fatigue 3 h (0.3, 0.2–0.5) or one day later (0.2, 0.0– 0.5). Fatigue severity increased as the day progressed (1.4, 1.0–1.7), and cognitive dysfunction was 0.2 lower at weekends (0.1–0.3). Interpretation: Cognitive, social, self-care and physical activities all triggered increased severity across every symptom, consistent with associated common pathways as potential therapeutic targets. Clear patterns of symptom fluctuations emerged that support more targeted self-management. Funding: National Institute for Health and Care Research.