PLoS ONE (Jan 2022)

Neighbourhood-level socio-demographic characteristics and risk of COVID-19 incidence and mortality in Ontario, Canada: A population-based study

  • Trevor van Ingen,
  • Kevin A. Brown,
  • Sarah A. Buchan,
  • Samantha Akingbola,
  • Nick Daneman,
  • Christine M. Warren,
  • Brendan T. Smith

Journal volume & issue
Vol. 17, no. 10

Abstract

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Objectives We aimed to estimate associations between COVID-19 incidence and mortality with neighbourhood-level immigration, race, housing, and socio-economic characteristics. Methods We conducted a population-based study of 28,808 COVID-19 cases in the provincial reportable infectious disease surveillance systems (Public Health Case and Contact Management System) which includes all known COVID-19 infections and deaths from Ontario, Canada reported between January 23, 2020 and July 28, 2020. Residents of congregate settings, Indigenous communities living on reserves or small neighbourhoods with populations Results Neighbourhoods with the highest proportion of immigrants (relative risk (RR): 4.0, 95%CI:3.5–4.5) and visible minority residents (RR: 3.3, 95%CI:2.9–3.7) showed the strongest association with COVID-19 incidence in adjusted models. Among individual race groups, COVID-19 incidence was highest among neighbourhoods with the high proportions of Black (RR: 2.4, 95%CI:2.2–2.6), South Asian (RR: 1.9, 95%CI:1.8–2.1), Latin American (RR: 1.8, 95%CI:1.6–2.0) and Middle Eastern (RR: 1.2, 95%CI:1.1–1.3) residents. Neighbourhoods with the highest average household size (RR: 1.9, 95%CI:1.7–2.1), proportion of multigenerational families (RR: 1.8, 95%CI:1.7–2.0) and unsuitably crowded housing (RR: 2.1, 95%CI:2.0–2.3) were associated with COVID-19 incidence. Neighbourhoods with the highest proportion of residents with less than high school education (RR: 1.6, 95%CI:1.4–1.8), low income (RR: 1.4, 95%CI:1.2–1.5) and unaffordable housing (RR: 1.6, 95%CI:1.4–1.8) were associated with COVID-19 incidence. Similar inequities were observed across neighbourhood-level sociodemographic characteristics and COVID-19 mortality. Conclusions Neighbourhood-level inequities in COVID-19 incidence and mortality were observed in Ontario, with excess burden experienced in neighbourhoods with a higher proportion of immigrants, racialized populations, large households and low socio-economic status.