Urban vs. rural: colorectal cancer survival and prognostic disparities from 2000 to 2019

Abstract

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This study aimed to analyze the differences in colorectal cancer (CRC) survival between urban and rural areas over the past 20 years, as well as investigate potential prognostic factors for CRC survival in both populations. Using registry data from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) from 2000 to 2019, 463,827 CRC cases were identified, with 85.8% in urban and 14.2% in rural areas. The mortality of CRC surpassed its survival rate by the sixth year after diagnosis in urban areas and the fifth year in rural areas. Furthermore, the 5-year overall survival (OS) of CRC increased by 2.9–4.3 percentage points in urban and 0.6–1.5 percentage points in rural areas over the past two decades. Multivariable Cox regression models identified independent prognostic factors for OS and disease-specific survival (DSS) of CRC in urban and rural areas, including age over 40, Black ethnicity, and tumor size greater than 5 cm. In addition, household income below $75,000 was found to be an independent prognostic factor for OS and DSS of CRC in urban areas, while income below $55,000 was a significant factor for rural areas. In conclusion, this study found a notable difference in CRC survival between rural and urban areas. Independent prognostic factors shared among both rural and urban areas include age, tumor size, and race, while household income seem to be area-specific predictive variables. Collaboration between healthcare providers, patients, and communities to improve awareness and early detection of CRC may help to further advance survival rates.

Keywords

• colorectal cancer
• survival
• prognostic
• urban-rural
• surveillance
• epidemiology