Smart city planning with emphasis on screenwriting approach (Case study: Urmia city)

Abstract

One of the new concepts to deal with the current challenges of cities in the field of urban planning is the development of smart cities. In this regard, the aim of the present study is to Urmia smart city planning with emphasis on the scenario writing approach. The research method is based on a future-research approach and techniques such as Delphi method, Cross Impact Analysis, Mick Mac software and Scenario Wizard software have been used to analyze the findings. The results show that 12 key factors play a key role in smartening the city of Urmia, for which 36 possible future situations were considered. Then, based on the opinions of experts and based on software analysis of the Wizard scenario, 7 strong scenarios were extracted. The results show that; 22.61% of these scenarios are favorable and 19.04% of the 7 scenarios show critical states. The probability of realization the static conditions is about 58.33%, which shows that in smartening the city of Urmia, the probability of static conditions is more than the two desired and critical states. Considering the current situation in Urmia, the continuation of the current situation (static conditions) is in fact a kind of crisis in the smartening of this city. Finally, based on the conditions of the scenarios and the situation of the key factors in the scenario panel, the solutions for smartening the city of Urmia were presented.

Keywords

• smart city
• cross impact analysis
• mick mac
• scenario wizard
• urmia city