Longitudinal frailty assessment in the prediction of survival among patients with advanced chronic kidney disease: a prospective observational single-centre cohort study

Abstract

Objectives This study aims to describe the prevalence, characteristics and longitudinal changes in frailty among outpatient chronic kidney disease (CKD) and haemodialysis (HD) populations and their impact on survival.Design Prospective observational cohort study.Setting Single-centre ambulatory tertiary care setting, metropolitan Australian teaching hospital.Participants Adult patients with advanced CKD (defined as estimated glomerular filtration rate <20 mL/min) or undergoing maintenance HD. Consent model was informed opt-out consent.Interventions Fried frailty assessment at baseline, 6 months and 12 months of longitudinal follow-up.Primary outcomes All-cause mortality and kidney transplantation events.Results Frailty was identified in 36.3% of the 256 participants, while an additional 46.5% exhibited prefrailty. Frailty was equally common among CKD and HD cohorts. Frailty outperformed age, comorbidity and laboratory parameters in predicting mortality risk with HR 2.83 (95% CI 1.44 to 5.56, p<0.001). Frailty also substantially reduced access to transplantation. While most participants exhibited static Fried phenotype over longitudinal assessment, improvements in frailty were observed as frequently as frailty progression. Female gender and symptom burden predicted frailty progression.Conclusions Frailty is highly prevalent and closely aligned with survival outcomes. Frailty among patients attending routine outpatient care may demonstrate responsiveness to intervention with subsequent improvements in mortality and other patient-level outcomes.