Top European Droughts since 1991

Abstract

Severe and repeated droughts in Europe have significant impacts on agriculture, transport, energy and healthcare. During the summer of 2003, more than the two-thirds of Europe was under drought. The drought events of 2010 and 2018 were of a similar extent to 2003. An unprecedented stress on water levels throughout the entire EU was created by the combination of severe drought and heat waves during August 2022—the worst drought event in 500 years according to according to the Commission’s Joint Research Centre. A raised awareness of drought characteristics is essential for better drought forecasting and monitoring in order to provide reliable adaptation strategies for drought hazard. In this study, the drought over six European stations for the last three decades using the standardized precipitation index (SPI) and the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) was analyzed. SPI reveals that there are no significant changes in dry and wet conditions, while SPEI shows a significant increase in the drought frequency during the last decades for Central Europe and the Mediterranean. The discrepancies between the two indices can be explained by the increasing temperature and evapotranspiration that are fundamental components of drought occurrence in Europe. The SPI12 index managed to identify the drought of August 2022 in many regions in Europe, but with less intensity than it was recorded. Conversely, SPEI12 was able to identify the intensity of the drought.

Keywords

• drought
• SPI
• SPEI
• summer 2022
• Europe