Case Studies in Thermal Engineering (Nov 2024)

Solar energy prediction with synergistic adversarial energy forecasting system (Solar-SAFS): Harnessing advanced hybrid techniques

  • S. Gomathi,
  • E. Kannan,
  • M.J. Carmel Mary Belinda,
  • Jayant Giri,
  • V. Nagaraju,
  • J. Aravind Kumar,
  • T R Praveenkumar

Journal volume & issue
Vol. 63
p. 105197

Abstract

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An effective solar forecasting is an important part of managing and enhancing the effectiveness of solar power systems. The purpose of this paper is to develop a distinct and smart energy prediction system for solar PV systems. An efficient Solar Synergistic Adversarial Energy Forecasting System (Solar-SAFS) has been developed, which greatly enhances the precision and reliability of solar power predictions. It combines various deep learning methods including Graph Convolutional Networks (GCNs), Variational Autoencoders (VAEs), Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to effectively understand spatial and time-related patterns in solar data. The strength and accuracy of this model are increased by using adversarial training, which makes sure it gives reliable predictions in different situations. For making the hyper parameters better and to increase model's effectiveness and efficiency, we are using Grey-Oystercatcher Hybrid Optimization (GOHO) technique. The Solar-SAFS is validated and tested with different data sets including Fingrid and DSK solar. It shows that this method gives better results compared to current deep learning models. Our findings suggest that Solar-SAFS improves the accuracy and stability of solar energy prediction by a large margin, offering an advanced solution for managing renewable energy resources. Moreover, it significantly helps to obtain better predictions for solar energy production, which is a crucial need in this sector. It also encourages more efficient and dependable forecasting methods for renewable energy sources like sunlight. Compared to existing deep learning models, the Solar-SAFS demonstrates significantly lower error rates across multiple performance metrics, including Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Squared Error (MSE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), and Mean Bias Error (MBE).

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