METHODS OF MATHEMATICAL-STATISTICAL ANALYSIS IN THE PROCESS OF EVALUATION OF THE INFLUENCE OF THE PRICES OF OIL TO THE COURSE OF CURRENCY OF EXPORTER COUNTRIES

Abstract

In this article are examined the dynamics of changes of oil prices in world, the dependence of the ruble on these changes, and also a methodology for constructing a single-factor correlation-regression model that reflects the dependence of the ruble exchange rate on oil prices and allows forecasting the value of the national currency is suggested.

Keywords

• курс рубля
• сырьевая экономика
• цены на нефть
• корреляционно-регрессионный анализ
• прогнозирование
• ruble exchange rate
• commodity economy
• oil prices
• correlation-regression analysis
• forecasting