Frontiers in Earth Science (Sep 2022)

Regional prediction and prevention analysis of rockburst hazard based on the Gaussian process for binary classification

  • Tianwei Lan,
  • Zhijia Zhang,
  • Jiawei Sun,
  • Wenqi Zhao,
  • Mancang Zhang,
  • Weidong Jia,
  • Mingwei Liu,
  • Xutao Guo

DOI
https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2022.959232
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 10

Abstract

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Rockburst is a complex dynamic disaster in coal mining and affected by many factors. To accurately predict the rockburst hazard among complex influencing factors, a prediction model of rockburst hazard based on the Gaussian process for binary classification (GPC) was proposed after the identification of the intrinsic relationship between multiple factors of coal mines and rockburst. Through computerized machine learning and integrated intelligent analysis, the non-linear mapping of rockburst hazard and its influencing factors was established. The multi-factor pattern recognition model was constructed using artificial intelligence. The prediction criteria of the rockburst hazard probability and the hazard probability value of the prediction area unit were determined by applying neural network and fuzzy inference methods. In addition, the rockburst hazardous zone was classified, and the corresponding technical scheme for the prevention was put forward. The validity and feasibility of the regional prediction of rockburst hazard based on GPC were verified in the engineering practice. This method is highly targeted and can improve the accuracy and precision of rockburst prediction, thus contributing to the safe and efficient production of coal mines.

Keywords