Predicting response to immunotherapy in oral squamous cell carcinoma via a CT-based radiomics model

Abstract

Abstract Background To investigate whether radiomics models derived from pretreatment CT could help to predict response to immunotherapy in oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC). Methods Retrospectively, a total of 40 patients with measurable OSCC were included. The patients were divided into responder group and non-responder group according to the comparison of pre-treatment and post-treatment CT findings. Radiomics features were extracted from pre-treatment CT images, and optimal features were selected by univariate analysis and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis. Neural network, support vector machine, random forest and logistic regression models were used to predict response to immunotherapy in OSCC, and leave-one-out cross validation was employed to assess the performance of the classifiers. The area under the curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity and specificity were calculated to quantify the predictive efficacy. Results A total of 7 features were selected to build models upon machine learning methods. By comparing different machine learning based models, the neural network model achieved the best predictive ability, with an AUC of 0.864, an accuracy of 82.5%, a sensitivity of 82.5%, and a specificity of 82.5%. Conclusions The pretreatment CT-based radiomics model showed good performance in predicting response to immunotherapy in OSCC. Pretreatment CT-based radiomics model might provide an alternative approach for the selection of patients who benefit from immunotherapy.

Keywords

• Oral squamous cell carcinoma
• Radiomics
• Immunotherapy
• Response prediction
• Machine learning