Cambridge Prisms: Coastal Futures (Jan 2023)

Tropical cyclone-induced coastal sea level projection and the adaptation to a changing climate

  • Nobuhito Mori,
  • Tomoya Shimura

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1017/cft.2022.6
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 1

Abstract

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Tropical cyclones (TCs) cause severe coastal flooding in the middle latitudes. While the IPCC Fifth Assessment Reports (AR5, 2013) have focused on mean sea-level rise, recent advances (e.g., IPCC Sixth Assessment Reports, AR6, 2021) have shown the importance of storm surges and wave changes in extreme water levels causing coastal flooding. Both TC intensity and track changes are linked to future changes in extreme storm surges and wave climates in middle latitudes. This brief review summarizes historical and future long-term changes in extreme water levels, the contribution of increased storm surges, and wave height by the monitoring data and climate projections. In addition, several examples of impact assessment of storm surges and extreme wave changes are presented.

Keywords