Evaluation of the Duration of Unemployment Spells Using Kaplan-Meier Estimator. A study on Botoşani County’s Labor Market

Abstract

The aim of this paper is analysing unemployment spells for Botoşani County’s labour market. The database includes individual information on a sample of 200 unemployment spells registeredat the Employment Agency of Botoşani County during January 2012 - December 2015. We compare Kaplan-Meier estimates of the probability of staying unemployed in function ofseveral characteristics, namely cohort, gender, and age. The method is applied using STATA 13.0software. The results of our estimations show that probabilities of staying unemployed areinfluenced by the variable cohort, when controlling for gender and age.

Keywords

• unemployement
• Kaplan- Meier estimator
• survival probabilities
• cohort