A data-driven approach to predict the compressive strength of alkali-activated materials and correlation of influencing parameters using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis

Abstract

This research used gene expression programming (GEP) and multi expression programming (MEP) to determine the compressive strength (CS) of alkali-activated material (AAM) to compare and develop more reliable genetic algorithm-based prediction models. To learn more about how raw ingredients affect and interact with the CS of AAM, a SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis was conducted. A comprehensive dataset containing 676 points with fifteen influential parameters was formulated from the previously published literature. According to this study, considering the impact of 15 input variables, both genetic algorithms produced results close to the experimental CS (retrieved from the literature). When the performance of the GEP and MEP models were compared, it was found that the MEP model, with an R2 of 0.86, performed better than the GEP model, with an R2 of 0.82. The assessment of the statistical parameters of generated models revealed that the MEP model was more effective. Additionally, SHAP analysis revealed that slag content, followed by the specimen's age, sodium silicate, and curing temperature, showed a positive correlation with CS of AAM, which were the most important parameters. The results also revealed the importance of chemical contents, i.e., CaO, SiO2, Al2O3, of FA and slag on the CS of AAM. The built models might be used to compute the CS of AAMs with varying input parameter values, minimizing the effort, time, and cost of unnecessary lab tests. Furthermore, the outcomes of the SHAP study might help researchers and the industry determine the quantity or composition of raw ingredients when producing AAMs.

Keywords

• Alkali-activated materials
• Sustainable materials
• Compressive strength
• Prediction models
• SHAP analysis