A new fractional-order compartmental disease model

Abstract

In this paper, we propose a new SEIRS model and are concerned with stability and numerical solutions of the model. The model is generated under certain assumptions such as individuals are vaccinated or have a special treatment but do not carry lifelong immunity. After generating a new SEIRS model, we perturb the model into fractional time derivative form where Caputo type fractional-order derivative operators are employed. After showing existence and uniqueness of the non-negative solutions, we determine disease free steady-state point and basic reproduction number. We also determine endemic steady state points and study on stability of the fractional system in these equilibrium points. We solve fractional-order system approximately with an efficient Euler type numerical method. We conclude that the proposed system may serve as a kernel for understanding, analysis and computational solutions of a wide range of disease models in epidemiology.

Keywords

• Frational SEIRS model
• Stability analysis
• Simulation