Statistika: Statistics and Economy Journal (Jun 2020)
Are Slovak Retail Gasoline and Diesel Price Reactions on Crude Oil Changes Asymmetric?
Abstract
The paper explains why the Slovak retail gasoline and diesel prices rise more rapidly when the price of crude oil increases and fall slowly when the price of crude oil decreases. The weekly data of Slovak retail gasoline and diesel prices and European Brent oil prices since the first week of 2009 till the second week of 2019 are used. The error correction model with irreversible behaviour of explanatory variables is specified to test asymmetric response of retail gasoline and diesel prices on changes in crude oil prices. By our assumption of linked gasoline and diesel markets, we also adopt a common co-integration relationship. Consequently, the vector error correction model is included in the analysis. An expected asymmetry in the retail fuel price reactions on crude oil changes is rejected. Our results may be informative for the future research in Slovak business cycles and in market structure of retail gasoline and diesel sellers.
