Artificial Neural Networks for Determining the Empirical Relationship between Meteorological Parameters and High-Level Cloud Characteristics

Abstract

The special features of the applicability of artificial neural networks to the task of identifying relationships between meteorological parameters of the atmosphere and optical and geometric characteristics of high-level clouds (HLCs) containing ice crystals are investigated. The existing models describing such relationships do not take into account a number of atmospheric effects, in particular, the orientation of crystalline ice particles due to the simplified physical description of the medium, or within the framework of these models, accounting for such dependencies becomes a highly nontrivial task. Neural networks are able to take into account the complex interaction of meteorological parameters with each other, as well as reconstruct almost any dependence of the HLC characteristics on these parameters. In the process of prototyping the software product, the greatest difficulty was in determining the network architecture, the loss function, and the method of supplying the input parameters (attributes). Each of these problems affected the most important issue of neural networks—the overtraining problem, which occurs when the neural network stops summarizing data and starts to tune to them. Dependence on meteorological parameters was revealed for the following quantities: the altitude of the cloud center; elements m22 and m44 of the backscattering phase matrix (BSPM); and the m33 element of BSPM requires further investigation and expansion of the analyzed dataset. Significantly, the result is not affected by the compression method chosen to reduce the data dimensionality. In almost all cases, the random forest method gave a better result than a simple multilayer perceptron.

Keywords

• big data
• artificial neural networks
• simple multilayer perceptron
• random forest method
• cross-validation
• atmosphere