LES EFFETS DES ECHANGES COMMERCIAUX ET DE LA TECHNOLOGIE IMPORTEE SUR LES FLUCTUATIONS DE L’EMPLOI AU MAROC : UNE ANALYSE MACRO-ECONOMETRIQUE (1980-2013)

Abstract

At this article we will try - in light of the macro-economic statistical data - to assess and analyze the dynamics of employment in Morocco in a polarized economic context marked by the proliferation of free-trade agreements exchange and to be interested in the relationship between international trade and the labor market. For this, we will try to identify factors that determine employment using an econometric model, and to explain the apparent weakness of creation rate of job positions created by our economy in the framework of agreements free trade, when other economically similar countries are experiencing a massive increase in employment rates. This will naturally raise the question of the identification of these factors will allow us also to identify key trends and constraints of the labor market and external trade. Thus, in order to clarify this impact, we proceed to the verification of the link between employment and the variables that seem representative of the openness of our economy through the causality test Granger; since these variables identified as key proxy issues discussed in this article.

Keywords

• marché du travail, commerce extérieur, accords de libre-échange, modèle var.