مهندسی عمران شریف (Nov 2020)
HETEROGENEITY AMONG INDIVIDUALS AND ALTERNATIVE IN ESTINATION CHOICE- CASE OF SHOPPING TRIPS IN QAZVIN
Abstract
Modeling behavior of individuals in destination choice plays an important role in travel demand analysis and hence assessing transportation policies impact. Most researchers have used multinomial logit model, which does not allow for heterogeneity among individuals and alternatives. However, mixed logit models account for random distribution of coefficients in the utility function, hence heterogeneity of individuals. Heteroscedastic extreme value model, on the other hand, assumes an independent and non-uniform distribution of the error term, which leads to heterogeneity among alternatives. The purpose of this paper is to examine heterogeneity among individuals and alternatives in shopping trips destination choice in Qazvin. Multinomial logit (as the base model, not considering heterogeneity), mixed logit and heteroscedastic extreme value are calibrated and their results are compared. Unlike previous studies, individuals choose destination based on distance to their residence. Model results of 1570 shopping O-D trips based on various criteria (such as log likelihood and goodness of fit coefficients) indicate superiority of the mixed logit model. It was also observed that the individuals behave heterogeneously considering distance and departure time in choosing their shopping destinations. On the other hand, heteroscedastic extreme value model results were not much better than multinomial logit, thus relaxing the assumption of homoscedasticity if the error term in multinomial logit may not be necessary considering the small increase in model fit. This paper is an extension to conventional destination choice models by taking account of heterogeneity among individuals and alternatives enabling more realistic results helping decision makers in setting more effective policies.
Keywords
