Rainfall erosivity and extreme precipitation in the Pannonian basin

Lukić Tin; Lukić Aco; Basarin Biljana; Ponjiger Tanja Micić; Blagojević Dragana; Mesaroš Minučer; Milanović Miško; Gavrilov Milivoj; Pavić Dragoslav; Zorn Matija; Komac Blaž; Miljković Ðurđa; Sakulski Dušan; Babić-Kekez Snežana; Morar Cezar; Janićević Sava

doi:10.1515/geo-2019-0053

Open Geosciences (Oct 2019)

Rainfall erosivity and extreme precipitation in the Pannonian basin

Lukić Tin,
Lukić Aco,
Basarin Biljana,
Ponjiger Tanja Micić,
Blagojević Dragana,
Mesaroš Minučer,
Milanović Miško,
Gavrilov Milivoj,
Pavić Dragoslav,
Zorn Matija,
Komac Blaž,
Miljković Ðurđa,
Sakulski Dušan,
Babić-Kekez Snežana,
Morar Cezar,
Janićević Sava

Affiliations

Lukić Tin: University of Novi Sad, Faculty of Sciences, Department of Geography, Tourism and Hotel Management, Trg Dositeja Obradovića 3, 21000Novi Sad, Serbia
Lukić Aco: University of Novi Sad, Faculty of Sciences, Department of Geography, Tourism and Hotel Management, Trg Dositeja Obradovića 3, 21000Novi Sad, Serbia
Basarin Biljana: University of Novi Sad, Faculty of Sciences, Department of Geography, Tourism and Hotel Management, Trg Dositeja Obradovića 3, 21000Novi Sad, Serbia
Ponjiger Tanja Micić: University of Novi Sad, Faculty of Sciences, Department of Geography, Tourism and Hotel Management, Trg Dositeja Obradovića 3, 21000Novi Sad, Serbia
Blagojević Dragana: University of Novi Sad, Faculty of Sciences, Department of Geography, Tourism and Hotel Management, Trg Dositeja Obradovića 3, 21000Novi Sad, Serbia
Mesaroš Minučer: University of Novi Sad, Faculty of Sciences, Department of Geography, Tourism and Hotel Management, Trg Dositeja Obradovića 3, 21000Novi Sad, Serbia
Milanović Miško: University of Belgrade, Faculty of Geography, Studentski trg 3/3, 11000Belgrade, Serbia
Gavrilov Milivoj: University of Novi Sad, Faculty of Sciences, Department of Geography, Tourism and Hotel Management, Trg Dositeja Obradovića 3, 21000Novi Sad, Serbia
Pavić Dragoslav: University of Novi Sad, Faculty of Sciences, Department of Geography, Tourism and Hotel Management, Trg Dositeja Obradovića 3, 21000Novi Sad, Serbia
Zorn Matija: Anton Melik geographical institute, Research centre of the Slovenian academy of sciences and arts, Gosposka ulica 13, SI – 1000Ljubljana, Slovenia
Komac Blaž: Anton Melik geographical institute, Research centre of the Slovenian academy of sciences and arts, Gosposka ulica 13, SI – 1000Ljubljana, Slovenia
Miljković Ðurđa: University of Novi Sad, Faculty of Sciences, Department of Geography, Tourism and Hotel Management, Trg Dositeja Obradovića 3, 21000Novi Sad, Serbia
Sakulski Dušan: University of Novi Sad, BioSense Institute, Zorana Ðinđića 1, 21000Novi Sad, Serbia
Babić-Kekez Snežana: University of Novi Sad, Faculty of Sciences, Department for Chemistry, Biochemistry and Environmental Protection, Trg Dositeja Obradovića 3, 21000Novi Sad, Serbia
Morar Cezar: Department of Geography, Tourism and Territorial Planning, Faculty of Geography, Tourism and Sport, University of Oradea, 1 University Street, Oradea 410087, Romania
Janićević Sava: University of Novi Sad, Faculty of Sciences, Department of Geography, Tourism and Hotel Management, Trg Dositeja Obradovića 3, 21000Novi Sad, Serbia

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/geo-2019-0053
Journal volume & issue: Vol. 11, no. 1
pp. 664 – 681

Abstract

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In order to assess the rainfall erosivity in the Pannonian basin, several parameters which describe distribution, concentration and variability of precipitation were used, as well as 9 extreme precipitation indices. The precipitation data is obtained from the European Climate Assessment and Dataset project for the period 1961-2014, for 8 meteorological stations in northern Serbia, 5 in Hungary and 1 in eastern Croatia. The extreme values of precipitation were calculated following the indices developed by the ETCCDI. RclimDex software package was used for indices calculation. Based on statistical analysis and the calculated values, the results have been presented with Geographic Information System (GIS) to point out the most vulnerable parts of the Pannonian basin, with regard to pluvial erosion. This study presents the first result of combined rainfall erosivity and extreme precipitation indices for the investigated area. Results of PCI indicate presence of moderate precipitation concentration (mean value 11.6). Trend analysis of FI (mean value 22.7) and MFI (mean value 70.2) implies a shift from being largely in the low erosivity class, to being completely in the moderate erosivity class in the future, thus indicating an increase in rainfall erosivity for most of the investigated area (except in the northwestern parts). Furthermore, the observed precipitation extremes suggest that both the amount and the intensity of precipitation are increasing. The knowledge about the areas affected by strong soil erosion could lead to introducing effective measures in order to reduce it. Long term analysis of rainfall erosivity is a significant step concerning flood prevention, hazard mitigation, ecosystem services, land use change and agricultural production.

Published in Open Geosciences

ISSN: 2391-5447 (Online)
Publisher: De Gruyter
Country of publisher: Poland
LCC subjects: Science: Geology
Website: http://www.degruyter.com/view/j/geo

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