Trend analysis and projection of work accidents cases based on work shifts, workers age, and accident types

Abstract

Objective: To assess the case of work accidents during period (2009–2022) based on work shifts, workers age, and accident types. Method: The study design was a time series design with data on work accidents at the company period 2009–2015 as the population. Results: The variable work shift in 2009–2015 was dominated by work accidents on morning shift and night shift of 0.47%. After a projection, it was found that work accidents occurring during the shift will drop from 0.22% to 0.11%. For the years 2009–2015, accidents were dominated by age group of >50 years with a percentage of 0.52%. In 2022 for that category fell by 0%. For work accidents that occurred in 2009–2015, the most cases were falling from a height with a percentage of 0.76–0.17%. In the next seven years, the projection results obtained the highest results turned into work accident with dangerous substances with a percentage of 0.17% in 2016 and increased to 0.30% in 2022. Conclusions: The trends and predictions from 2016 to 2022 were a decrease in work accidents based on work, a decrease in accidents based on the workers age, and also a decrease on the variable type of accident.

Keywords

• Projection
• Shift
• Trend
• Work accident
• Workers age