Evaluation of global climate models for the simulation of precipitation and maximum and minimum temperatures at coarser and finer resolutions based on temporal and spatial assessment metrics in mainland of China

Abstract

Many studies have evaluated the performance of multiple global climate models (GCMs) from a temporal or spatial perspective at finer resolution, but no study has evaluated the performance of individual GCMs at different resolutions and before and after bias correction from both temporal and spatial perspectives. The goal of this study is to evaluate the performance of 21 Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project 6 (CMIP6) GCMs at the raw (coarser) and downscaled (finer) resolutions and after bias correction in relation to their skills in the simulation of daily precipitation and maximum and minimum temperatures over China for the period 1961–2014 using state-of-the-art temporal and spatial metrics, Kolmogorov–Smirnov statistic and SPAtial EFficiency. The results indicated some differences in the ranks of GCMs between temporal and spatial metrics at different resolutions. The overall ranking shows that the simulations at the raw resolution of GCMs are more similar to the observations than the simulations after inverse distance weighted interpolation in SPAtial EFficiency. Three variables from bias-corrected GCMs ranked from 1 to 21 show similar good performance in spatial patterns but the poorest trend in empirical Cumulative Distribution Functions (ECDFs) except daily precipitation. HIGHLIGHTS Evaluation of the performance of GCMs for daily precipitation and maximum and minimum temperatures based on spatio-temporal assessment metrics.; Evaluation of the performance of GCMs at coarse and finer resolutions and those after bias correction.;

Keywords

• bias correction
• china
• cmip6 gcms
• coarse and finer resolutions
• temporal and spatial metrics