Redução da mortalidade infantil e cumprimento do Objetivo de Desenvolvimento do Milênio 4 no Brasil

Abstract

This work aims to analyze the conditions that affect the probability of a Brazilian municipality reaching the Millennium Development Goal 4 (MDG4), considering the period from 2000 to 2015. For this, the spatial Probit model was used, with regional estimates. There was evidence of an advance in the municipalities that reached MDG4 in 2015, with heterogeneity across the country. With regard to what affects the probability of meeting MDG4, a negative effect was found for female illiteracy, fertility and income inequality, with a spatial effect of these variables. In addition, the PSF contributed positively to achieving MDG4.

Keywords

• child mortality
• mdg4
• spatial probit