Nature Communications (Apr 2018)

Limits on determining the skill of North Atlantic Ocean decadal predictions

  • Matthew B. Menary,
  • Leon Hermanson

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-04043-9
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 9, no. 1
pp. 1 – 8

Abstract

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Decadal climate prediction systems are tested against ocean reanalyses, but these reanalyses can yield differing perspectives of the ocean state. Here the authors show that in the North Atlantic, the perceived skill of a prediction system is fundamentally affected by these uncertainties.