Записки Горного института (Apr 2024)

Modeling the efficiency of seasonal cooling devices when changing the statistical distribution of weather conditions

  • Oleg M. Ermilov,
  • Anton A. Dzhalyabov,
  • Gennadii G. Vasilev,
  • Igor A. Leonovich

Journal volume & issue
Vol. 266
pp. 272 – 282

Abstract

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The climatic factor of warming, which is evidenced by a significant number of scientists and research teams in Russia and the world, has a significant impact on the cryogenic state of permafrost soil, the preservation of which is one of the most common principles of construction in the North. The influence of projected climatic changes in planning up to 2050 on the efficiency of seasonal cooling devices, the principle of operation of which is based on seasonal soil freezing, is considered. The conducted modeling has shown that in a situation of stable climate, the preservation of the cryogenic state of permafrost soil is realized without the use of additional measures. With warming with a trend of 0.1 °C per year, seasonal cooling devices do not ensure the preservation of the current level of the cryogenic state of the soil and additional measures are required to increase their efficiency in the summer. In the case of more extreme warming with a rate of 0.25 °C per year, the modeling results show that seasonal cooling devices do not significantly affect the rate of soil thawing and the solution to the problem should be its complete replacement with systems with year-round action.

Keywords