Główne determinanty podaży publicznych aktywów bezpiecznych. Analiza na podstawie krajów emitentów walut rezerwowych w okresie 1989-2018

Abstract

Safe assets are the main topic of this article. They are defined as having stable payoffs, high liquidity and carring minimal credit risk. They are particularly valuable during periods of financial turmoil. The aim of the article is to analyse empirically the economic fundamentals that make government assets really safe, i.e.: debt to GDP ratio, GDP per capita, inflation rate, trade balance, development of the financial market and political stability. The analysis is carried out in the period of 1989-2018 (30 years) for reserve currency issuers: the United States of America, Japan, the United Kingdom, Germany and Switzerland. Selected countries have the highest credit ratings and reserve currency issuer`s status based on International Monetary Fund data. According to the results, Switzerland and Germany have the greatest potential for issuing safe assets, and should join the United States as a global safe asset provider.