Statistical modeling for COVID-19 virus spread in Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Netherlands

Abstract

The aim of this work is to develop a new outstanding lifetime distribution, dubbed the power Bilal (PB) distribution. Both of the probability distribution function (pdf) and the cumlative distribution function (cdf) of the PB distribution have a simple forms. The suggested distribution’s moments, incomplete moments as well as the quantile function are deduced and acquired in explicit forms as a result of its simple forms. Seven estimation methods for estimating the PB distribution parameters are mentioned, and numerical simulations are used to compare the proposed approaches using partial and overall ranks. According to the simulation results of this work, the maximum likelihood estimators are advised to be the best estimation method for estimating the parameters of the PB distribution, when the data genrated from the PB distribution. We shows the importance and flexibility of the PB distribution by comparing it to other existing competing distributions using two different real data sets from COVID-19 mortality rates of two countries.

Keywords

• Bilal distribution
• Esitmation methods
• COVID-19