Serum Growth Differentiation Factor-15/Albumin Ratio as a 2-Year Survival Marker of End-Stage Renal Disease Patients Initiating Maintenance Hemodialysis

Abstract

It is important to identify risk factors related to mortality in end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients starting renal replacement therapy. Recently, several studies proposed that growth-differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) is a possible biomarker for the prognosis of patients on maintenance hemodialysis. Here, we investigated the predictive value of serum GDF-15/Albumin ratio on two-year mortality in ESRD patients initiating maintenance hemodialysis. The study was a single center, retrospective study on ESRD patients starting maintenance hemodialysis with a follow-up of two years. All patients completed laboratory test and bioimpedance spectroscopy prior to the initiation of the first dialysis. The patients were stratified into quartiles according to the quartiles of serum GDF-15/Albumin ratio. Among the 159 patients, the mean age was 61.78 ± 12.52 years and median survival was 20.03 ± 7.73 months. The highest GDF-15/Albumin quartile was significantly more associated with the increased risk of all-cause mortality than other quartiles (unadjusted hazard ratio (HR): 8.468, 95% CI 2.981–24.054, p < 0.001). Older age and a higher overhydration state were associated with GDF-15/Albumin ratio. The ROC analysis confirmed that the ability of the GDF-15/Albumin ratio to predict mortality was superior to GDF-15 or albumin alone. In conclusion, the GDF-15/Albumin ratio measured at the initial maintenance hemodialysis is an independent prognostic marker of two-year mortality in ESRD patients.

Keywords

• GDF-15
• end-stage renal disease
• hemodialysis
• survival