Agent-Based Modelling of the Evolution of the Russian Party System Based on Pareto and Hotelling Distributions

Abstract

The given article contains research of the evolution of the Russian party system. The chosen methodology is based on the heuristic potential of agent-based modelling. The author analyzes various scenarios of parties’ competition (applying Pareto distribution) in connection with recent increase of the number of political parties. In addition, the author predicts the level of ideological diversity of the parties’ platforms (applying the principles of Hotelling distribution) in order to evaluate their potential competitiveness in the struggle for voters.

Keywords

• политические партии
• политический анализ
• агентное моделирование
• теория игр
• распределение Парето
• распределение Хотеллинга