Atmosphere (Nov 2023)
Research and Application of Intelligent Weather Push Model Based on Travel Forecast and 5G Message
Abstract
In the realm of daily activity planning, precise weather forecasting services hold paramount significance. However, the prevalent dissemination of weather forecasts through conventional channels like radio, television, and the internet often yields only generalized regional predictions. This limitation contributes to diminished forecast reach, inadequate accuracy, and a lack of individualization, thwarting the effective distribution of meteorological insights and inhibiting the fulfillment of personalized forecast demands. Addressing these concerns, our study proposes a personalized weather forecasting approach that harnesses machine learning techniques and leverages the 5G messaging platform. By amalgamating projected user travel data, we augment personalized weather reports and extend user coverage to achieve tailored, timely, and high-quality weather services. Concretely, our research commences with an extensive analysis of large-scale user travel behavior data to extract pertinent travel attributes. Subsequently, we construct a user’s future location prediction model—dubbed the Loc-PredModel—by employing the Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) algorithm to forecast users’ trip destinations and arrival times. Anchored in the anticipated outcomes of user travel behavior, personalized weather data reports are formulated. Experimental results underscore the Loc-PredModel’s remarkable predictive prowess, demonstrating a root mean squared error (RMSE) value of 0.208 and a coefficient of determination (R2) value of 0.935, affirming its efficacy in prognosticating users’ trip destinations and arrival times. Furthermore, our 5G message-driven platform, rooted in intelligent personalized meteorological services, underwent testing within Chengdu city and garnered positive user feedback. Our research effectively surmounts the limitations of conventional weather forecasting platforms by furnishing users with more precise and customized weather information predicated on behavioral analysis and the 5G information ecosystem. This study not only advances the theoretical groundwork of intelligent meteorology but also offers invaluable insights and guidance for future advancement. By providing users with a more personalized and timely intelligent meteorological service experience, our approach exhibits transferability, with the research methodology and model potentially extendable nationwide or even on a larger scale beyond the study’s Chengdu-based scope.
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