آینده‌پژوهی دفاعی (May 2017)

The Foresight of Ground combat technology in future wars

  • hossein valivandzamani,
  • Hosein Minaee

Journal volume & issue
Vol. 2, no. 4
pp. 7 – 33

Abstract

Read online

Technology prognosis is a complex and highly dependent on native structures. The general purpose of technology foresight is a new science that may have many economic, defense and social benefits. The nature of the war is changing and its pace is greater than ever in contemporary history. The 21st-century ground force, in order to be able to attain the highest possible level of strategic and superior maneuverability, should use the ground combat technologies to simultaneously exploit the effects of battlefield, fire and precision maneuvering space awareness. When these changes are fully integrated, the synergy resulting from these various capabilities will make the ground forces in the future battlefields an important factor in national decision making. The Foresight of defensive technologies needed in future wars are a tool that will help senior executives and leaders create a strategic conception of technology for making big decisions. This paper was designed to identify the technology needed by the ground forces in future wars, using the Delphi method. Theoretical foundations of the current research in future wars are based on the Hoffman and Kilcullen theories and in the identification of technology are based on the ideas of Wenwick and Fall; then the views of university professors in the fields of defense, industry and technology were exploited, and the data were analyzed by mixed method. Finally, the identified techniques were presented.

Keywords