WindFormer: Learning Generic Representations for Short-Term Wind Speed Prediction

Abstract

In this paper, we introduce WindFormer, an innovative transformer-based model engineered for short-term wind speed forecasting, leveraging multivariate time series data. Unlike traditional approaches, WindFormer excels in processing diverse meteorological features—temperature, humidity, and power—to intricately map their spatiotemporal interdependencies with wind speeds. Utilizing a novel unsupervised pre-training strategy, WindFormer initially learns from vast volumes of unlabeled data to capture generalized feature representations. This foundation enhances the subsequent fine-tuning phase on labeled wind speed data, in which our model demonstrates exceptional predictive accuracy. Empirical evaluations across various public datasets illustrate that WindFormer markedly surpasses both conventional statistical models and contemporary deep learning techniques. The model not only achieves superior accuracy in forecasting wind speeds but also reveals a significant enhancement in handling complex spatiotemporal data dynamics. These advancements facilitate more effective wind farm management and power grid scheduling, making a substantial impact on operational efficiencies and renewable energy utilization. Our findings confirm the robustness of WindFormer in a real-world setting, underscoring its potential as a pivotal tool in meteorological and energy sectors. The integration of unsupervised pre-training with multi-task fine-tuning establishes a new benchmark for short-term wind speed prediction.

Keywords

• WindFormer
• short-term wind speed forecasting
• transformer-based based model
• spatiotemporal dependencies
• unsupervised pre-training