Environmental Research Letters (Jan 2017)

Comment on ‘High-income does not protect against hurricane losses’

  • Diego Rybski,
  • Boris F Prahl,
  • Jürgen P Kropp

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa88d8
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 12, no. 9
p. 098001

Abstract

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Geiger et al ( Environ. Res. Lett. 2016 11 084012) employ two functional relationships to characterize hurricane damage in the USA—either based on GDP (one exponent) or on per capita GDP and population (two exponents). From the Akaike Information Criterion the authors cannot reject the former kind in favor of the latter. The different approaches, however, lead to divergent projections of future hurricane losses. In this comment, we argue that there is no rigorous evidence in [ 1 ] to give preference to one or the other approach, and the conclusion that high-income does not protect against hurricane losses needs to be revisited. As a perspective, it needs to be mentioned that the previously published relationship between GDP and population could unify both approaches.

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